| Employment declined in business, building and other support services (-20,000; -2.8%), public administration (-8,800; -0.7%), natural resources (-7,700; -2.3%), and utilities (-5,600; -3.5%) in August. Despite monthly declines, employment in these four industries was little changed year over year.
Manufacturing (+22,000; +1.2%) was the only sector to record a significant increase in employment in August, with most of that increase (+14,000; +1.7%) in Ontario. Year over year, employment in this sector was largely unchanged, as the August increase offset earlier decreases.
Over the 12 months to August, employment growth was concentrated in health care and social assistance (+129,000; +4.5%), information, culture and recreation (+49,000; +5.9%) and transportation and warehousing (+47,000; +4.4%). On the other hand, wholesale and retail trade (-55,000; -1.8%) recorded the largest decline across industries over the same period.
Year-over-year growth in average hourly wages decelerates for the second consecutive month
Average hourly wages among employees in August were up 2.0% (to $37.02) year over year, following growth of 2.8% in July and 3.3% in June (not seasonally adjusted).
Year-over-year growth in average hourly wages remained robust through the post-pandemic period, averaging 4.9% over 2023 and 2024 before decelerating to an average of 3.4% in 2025. Wage growth in August 2026 was the slowest since November 2017 (when it was also 2.0%), excluding the year 2021, during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Year-over-year wage growth was slower for employees with lower wages in August. For employees in the bottom 25% of the wage distribution, average hourly wages were up 1.1% (to $18.66) year over year, while they were up 1.3% (to $26.61) for employees in the second lowest 25% of the wage distribution. In comparison, wages grew faster for employees in the third (+2.1% to $37.99) and top (+2.1% to $65.15) quartiles.
Bottom Line
In a separate release this morning, the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report showed exceptional strength in direct contrast to the Canadian jobs report. The U.S. added 162,000 net new jobs, about triple the consensus estimate. The report included upward revisions for prior months. Wages gained, too, but still trail annualized inflation. The jobless rate held at 4.1%. The labour force participation rate expanded, and the strong report stoked bets on a September Fed interest rate hike when the FOMC meets again on September 15-16.
The Bank of Canada is likely to remain on the sidelines as inflation is weaker in Canada and the economy is vulnerable to a broader slowdown, particularly if the Trump administration introduces even larger tariffs on January 1, as it is currently threatening |